Fiscal Policy, Public Debt and the Term Structure of by Roland Demmel

By Roland Demmel

The creation of the thesis involves 4 components: first, we encourage our selected macroeconomic surroundings through a few genuine international phenomena. For a greater realizing of those phenomena, we argue that the mutual dynamic interactions among flScal coverage and fiscal markets must be heavily tested in a macroeconomic framework. moment, we evaluation diverse strands of the commercial literature so as to exhibit that almost all of the literature has thus far solely focused both on fmancial industry dynamics or on flScal coverage concerns. We finish extra built-in version environment is named for to be able to clarify the dynamic interactions saw in truth. 3rd, we speak about at size the commercial assumptions underlying our version. This avoids a number of repetition in a while. eventually, we define the constitution of the thesis and the pursuits we pursue within the assorted chapters. 1. 1 Motivation financial coverage and monetary industry reactions are more and more receiving international­ huge awareness. the latest examples are the Maastricht standards approximately flScal keep an eye on, the South-East Asia monetary challenge and the ensuing IMF coverage stance, the excessive point of public debt in built and constructing international locations and the influence on rates of interest and financial development. not like the nonetheless underdeveloped theoretical literature on those dynamic hyperlinks, discovering empirical proof that helps the lifestyles of those hyperlinks isn't really a really challenging task.

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We will come back to the influence of fiscal policy on growth later on. 29b) lim{gy ) = a K t-+- - 0- 1: Computation of the derivative of gy with respect to time denoting the time change in growth yields: (2. 29c) shows that the time derivative of the growth rate is strictly positive if we exclude the extreme cases t -7 00 or Do = 0 for which the derivative becomes zero. The growth rate is thus strictly increasing in time. e. 29a) corresponds to the minimal growth rate. These results are interesting because they contradict the usual opinion that economic growth will slow down finally.

5d), we can now solve for the time path of optimal consumption. 5d). 6) shows that the growth rate of consumption equals the short-term interest rate rD minus the tax rate 't and the rate of time preferences p divided by the elasticity of substitution y. The influence of these parameters on consumption growth are as expected: a higher rate of time preferences and higher elasticity of substitution decrease consumption growth since they imply future consumption to be less· appreciated than today's consumption.

It has to be determined such that the transversality condition is met. Looking at the growth rate, one can see that it depends positively on the marginal product of capital which stimulates wealth accumulation and hence output production in the future. An increase in· the depreciation rate has the exact opposite effect since now more investment is needed to sustain the capital stock. Likewise, the tax rate and the rate of time preference diminish the growth rate of consumption. Before we determine initial consumption Co by the transversality condition, we need to compute the time path for private wealth W since it appears in the transversality condition.

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